Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 1.051659 1.271755 1.505529 1.770379 2.060256 2.366196 2.711841
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.802660 1.111002 1.461760 1.882149 2.364865 2.895260 3.515835
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.678163 1.033966 1.458131 1.984945 2.607382 3.307051 4.141354
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.555296 0.937312 1.414833 2.028399 2.772421 3.625658 4.659690
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.447190 0.839040 1.352567 2.033819 2.879509 3.866435 5.079105
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.336891 0.718749 1.247395 1.973576 2.897419 3.994837 5.361854
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.249859 0.615408 1.151763 1.914455 2.907622 4.106848 5.619246
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.188414 0.539000 1.083681 1.883289 2.946234 4.247926 5.906769
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.153473 0.500171 1.064820 1.914551 3.061792 4.481357 6.304142
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.120000 0.456005 1.032781 1.923799 3.146075 4.674342 6.651490
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.085695 0.399838 0.975601 1.892763 3.173792 4.794175 6.907794
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.081618 0.410218 1.026166 2.017254 3.409552 5.177128 7.488679
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.074352 0.414027 1.070074 2.139532 3.653063 5.583486 8.116208
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.066907 0.415864 1.110910 2.258780 3.895125 5.991656 8.750982
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.060174 0.417368 1.150060 2.374796 4.132355 6.393452 9.377832
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.046837 0.394763 1.144466 2.422244 4.275311 6.674665 9.855563
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.032372 0.360283 1.113546 2.428506 4.359768 6.879521 10.237453
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016734 0.305882 1.038476 2.361645 4.339116 6.945948 10.444199
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.006857 0.257540 0.967555 2.296069 4.316414 7.006864 10.641741
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002221 0.222828 0.918527 2.261438 4.334171 7.117826 10.899621
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000787 0.208638 0.912076 2.296169 4.451504 7.360585 11.325690
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.189637 0.891987 2.306435 4.532376 7.554436 11.689242
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.162263 0.847350 2.271968 4.545804 7.656932 11.934902